Kamala’s Worst Poll Yet: Trump Surges in Swing States!

Former President Donald Trump is making notable gains against Vice President Kamala Harris in critical swing states, according to recent polls by Trafalgar Group and InsiderAdvantage. These findings underscore a significant shift in the political landscape as the 2024 election approaches, with Trump showing strong support in battleground regions that could determine the next president.

The polls, conducted by respected pollsters Robert Cahaly of Trafalgar Group and Matt Towery of InsiderAdvantage, highlight a competitive race that could go down to the wire. Cahaly and Towery, who are also co-hosts of the popular PollingPlus podcast, have a track record of accuracy that has been consistently recognized by RealClearPolitics, adding weight to their current insights.

In Michigan, the race is extremely close, with Harris holding a narrow lead at 49% compared to Trump’s 47%. This slight advantage is hardly a comfort for Harris, as Trump has shown resilience in other key states. In Wisconsin, for instance, Trump edges out Harris by a slim margin of 49% to 48%, signaling a potential shift in momentum toward the former president.

Trafalgar Group’s polling also reveals a favorable trend for Trump in other crucial regions. In Pennsylvania, Trump leads with 46% against Harris’s 44%, a margin that, while narrow, could be decisive in a state known for its pivotal role in presidential elections. Arizona presents a similar picture, with Trump at 48% and Harris at 47%, further illustrating the tightness of this race.

Trump’s lead is more pronounced in Nevada, where he outpaces Harris 48% to 45%, and in North Carolina, where he leads by a more comfortable margin of 49% to 45%. These results suggest that Trump continues to maintain a solid base of support in states that are likely to be decisive in the 2024 election. The consistency of his lead across multiple battleground states indicates potential vulnerabilities in Harris’s campaign strategy and highlights the challenges she faces in consolidating her support.

Interestingly, the polling data also show a significant portion of voters who remain undecided or are leaning toward third-party candidates. In Pennsylvania and Nevada, for example, undecided voters and those supporting other candidates make up 10% and 7% of the electorate, respectively. This undecided bloc could prove to be the deciding factor as the race intensifies, leaving both campaigns with much to consider in the weeks ahead.

As Trump rallies his base, his campaign efforts continue to draw large crowds and generate considerable media attention. On Thursday night, Trump energized his supporters at a rally in Bozeman, Montana, where he took the opportunity to poke fun at President Joe Biden. “I hear he’s going to make a comeback at the Democrat convention,” Trump quipped. “He’s going to walk into the room and he’s going to say, ‘I want my presidency back. I want another chance to debate Trump. I want another chance.’”

Trump’s rally in Montana also saw him targeting Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, a key figure in Harris’s campaign. In a pointed remark, Trump criticized Walz’s policies, saying, “He ordered tampons to be put into boys’ bathrooms. Do we have any children here? Please close your ears. He ordered tampons in boys’ bathrooms, OK?” This comment, delivered with characteristic Trumpian flair, underscores his ongoing critique of progressive policies that he argues have gone too far.

Trump also took aim at Harris and Walz’s handling of the media, suggesting that both are trying to avoid scrutiny. “So when you’re commander in chief, you don’t go to the run and hide away from the press. You know, they run and they wanna go on a record that’s a fake record. They have a fake record, both of them. How ’bout the new guy? How do you like him?” Trump said, casting doubt on the transparency and integrity of his opponents.

Despite a delay in his arrival due to mechanical issues with his plane, Trump’s appearance in Montana was a testament to his determination to stay in the public eye and continue his campaign. On the same night, Vice President Harris and Governor Walz were campaigning in Arizona, another critical battleground state, as they continue their push to secure votes in the most contested areas of the country.

Looking ahead, the stage is set for what promises to be a fiery debate between Trump and Harris. Trump has confirmed his participation in a televised debate on ABC scheduled for September 10. This event will mark the first of what could be three debates in September, although the dates for the remaining debates have yet to be finalized.

As the election draws nearer, both campaigns are ramping up their efforts to sway undecided voters and solidify their bases. With the polling numbers showing a tight race, the outcome remains uncertain, and the next few months are sure to be filled with intense political drama.