Taiwan’s military has reported the presence of a Chinese aircraft carrier group sailing toward its southern waters, a move raising alarms as China’s military ramps up its rhetoric. On Sunday, China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) released a video stating it was “prepared for battle,” heightening fears that more aggressive military exercises may be on the horizon.
China has long viewed Taiwan, a self-ruled island, as part of its territory. The ruling Communist Party in Beijing is especially antagonistic toward Taiwan’s President Lai Ching-te, whom they label a “separatist.” China’s military regularly operates around the island, but the latest developments signal a more visible show of force.
Last week, President Lai delivered a speech on Taiwan’s National Day, taking a firm but diplomatic stance. He asserted that the People’s Republic of China does not have the right to represent Taiwan while expressing a willingness to work with Beijing on shared issues like climate change. However, his words struck a nerve with Chinese leaders, leading to strong reactions. In his speech, Lai made it clear, “only Taiwan’s people can decide their future.”
On Sunday, Taiwan’s defense ministry confirmed that a Chinese naval fleet led by the aircraft carrier Liaoning had entered waters near the Bashi Channel. This area, which separates Taiwan from the Philippines, connects the South China Sea to the Pacific Ocean and is a key maritime route. According to the ministry, the carrier group was expected to enter the Western Pacific, an area Taiwan’s armed forces are closely monitoring. “Exercising appropriate vigilance and response,” Taiwan’s defense ministry assured, although they did not provide further details.
Before Lai’s recent address, Taiwan’s intelligence officials had already cautioned that his speech could provoke new military actions from China. The last such military drills were conducted in May, an aggressive display that Beijing labeled as punishment for Lai’s inauguration address earlier that month. Now, there are growing concerns that another round of war games may be imminent.
Further fueling these concerns is a propaganda video released by the PLA’s Eastern Theatre Command, which is responsible for Taiwan. The video, shared widely on Chinese social media, is titled “fully prepared and biding one’s time before battle.” It depicts fighter jets, warships, mobile missile launchers, and amphibious assault vehicles, symbolically including a map of Taiwan in one of the characters used in the video’s title. While the display is intended to showcase China’s readiness for combat, it also serves as a clear message to Taiwan and its allies.
Despite the aggressive posturing, China has yet to rule out the possibility of using force to reclaim Taiwan. While Beijing’s defense ministry did not comment on the situation, there has been no shortage of speculation. A Taiwanese security official, speaking anonymously, confirmed that the island is keeping a close eye on China’s movements and media coverage surrounding Lai’s speech. Much of the Chinese media’s response has condemned Lai’s remarks, calling them “confrontational.”
Online, some social media users in China have added to the tension, with comments calling for “national reunification” and demanding that “Taiwan return to the motherland.”
Taiwanese officials remain on edge, watching the situation as it develops. A second Taiwanese security source noted that while Beijing may be wary of triggering a full-blown crisis ahead of the upcoming U.S. presidential election, there is still a possibility of military drills evolving into more targeted war games. “China’s military could just ‘hang a name’ on those exercises and turn them into war games specifically targeting Taiwan,” the source suggested, further heightening concerns.
In addition to military tensions, China has also been applying economic pressure on Taiwan. Over the weekend, China’s commerce ministry warned that it might impose further trade sanctions, a tactic many see as part of Beijing’s broader strategy of economic coercion.
President Lai and his administration have been steadfast in rejecting Beijing’s sovereignty claims over Taiwan. Despite multiple offers for dialogue from Taipei, Beijing has consistently refused. Lai reiterated, “only Taiwan’s people can decide their future,” maintaining a firm stance on Taiwan’s autonomy.
With tensions continuing to rise and military actions seemingly escalating, the situation between Taiwan and China remains precarious. As the world watches closely, Taiwan stands resolute, aware that the days ahead may test its resolve further.
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